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Next: Summary Up: Spatial competition and price Previous: Price formation

Discussion and outlook

The modelling approach with respect to economics in this paper is admittedly simplistic. Some obvious and necessary improvements concern credit and bankruptcy (i.e. rules for companies to operate with a negative amount of cash). Instead of those, we want to discuss some issues here that are closer to this paper. These issues are concerned with time, space, and communication.

In this paper, in order to reach a clean model with possible analytic solutions, we have described the models in a language which is rather unnatural with respect to economics. For example, instead of ``one company per time step'' which changes prices one would use rates (for example a probability of pch for each company to change prices in a given time step). However, in the limiting case of pch →0, at most one and usually zero companies change prices in a given time step. If one also assumes that consumers adaptation is fast enough so that it is always completed before the next price change occurs, then this will result in the same dynamics as our model. Thus, our model is not ``different'' from reality, but it is a limiting case for the limit of fast customer adaptation and slow company adaptation. Our approach is to understand these limiting cases first before we move to the more general cases.

Similar comments refer to the utilization of space. We have already seen that moving from a spatial model to a non-spatial is rather straightforward. There is an even more systematic way to make this transition, which is the increase of the dimensions. In two dimensions on a square grid, every agent has four nearest neighbors. In three dimensions, there are six nearest neighbors. In general, if D is the dimension, there are 2D nearest neighbors. If we leave the number N of agents constant and keep periodic boundary conditions (D-dimensional torus), then at D=(N-1)/2 everybody is a nearest neighbor of everybody. Thus, a non-spatial model is the D →&inf; limiting case of a spatial model.

Furthermore, models such as the ones discussed in this paper often have a so-called upper critical dimension, where some aspects of the model become the same as in infinite dimensions. This upper critical dimension often is rather low (in the single digits).

These concepts can be generalized beyond grids and nearest neighbors - the only two ingredients one needs is that (i) the probability to interact with someone else decreases fast enough with distance, and that (ii) if one doubles distance from r to 2r, then the number of interactions up to 2r is 2D times the number of interactions up to distance r.

This should also make clear that space can be seen in a generalized way if one replaces distance by generalized cost. For example, to how many more people can you make ``20 cents a minute or less'' phone calls than ``10 cents a minute or less'' phone calls? If the answer to this is ``two times as many'', then for the purposes of this discussion you live in a one-dimensional world. In Europe, where phone costs are much more distance-dependent than in the States, the answer would probably be ``four times as many'', reflecting the spatial dimension two of the problem.

Given this, it is important to note that we have used space only for the communication structure, i.e. the way consumers aquire information (by asking neighbors). This is a rather weak influence of space, as opposed to, for example, transportation costs[1]. The details of this need to be left to future work.


next up previous
Next: Summary Up: Spatial competition and price Previous: Price formation


Tue May 9 13:55:49 CEST 2000